Implementasi Persamaan Diferensial Model Logistik untuk Memprediksi Tingkat Pertumbuhan Kendaraan Bermotor di Kota Pematang Siantar
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51278/aj.v5i2.857Keywords:
Diferential Equation, Logistics Model, Groeth RateAbstract
The growth of the motorized vehicle population is continuous, which means that the growth in the time is not broken. The logistic model is a refinement of the exponential model put forward by Malthus and the logistic model is also considered to get predictive results that are closer to the actual data. This study aims to the describe the determinants of the growth rate of motorized vehicles in Pematang Siantar City. The subject of this research is data of motorized from 2017-2020. Based on the results of this study, the carrying capacity is 112.680. The author can draw that the conclusion of the MAPE value model from each model to find out the value that is closest to the actual value, namely the logistic model with k=0,249895 which is the most accurate compared to the other models, resulting in sellers Pt)=112.680/((6,518516) e^(-(0,249895)t)+1) and based on this model the authors look for the growth value of motorized vehicles in thr 2024 with a value of t=7 producing 52.812,61 units
Keywords: Diferential Equation, Logistics Model, Groeth Rate
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